What is the Difference Between Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis?


Technical analysis and fundamental analysis are the two most popular and wide spread approaches among stock traders and investors. It is generally accepted by the majority of stock traders and investors that technical analysis and fundamental analysis are based on different assumptions and yield significantly different results. However, technical analysis and fundamental can be combined wisely and generate superior results.
 
In general, technical traders employ quantitative indicators and visual, chart-based tools to examine the price movement and volume data of stocks and other financial instruments. Moreover, technical traders use sophisticated tools to forecast future stock price movements, and trading systems to determine the optimal entry and exit points in a financial transaction. Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are used to determine whether a stock is underpriced or overpriced. On the other hand, price breakouts are used to determine the future stock price direction.
 
On the contrary, fundamental investors, examine quantitative as well as qualitative factors to decide which stocks to buy, hold or sell. Fundamental analysts and investors base their decisions in figures from a company’s financial statements and information related to management effectiveness and industry conditions. Fundamental analysis concentrates on financial accounts and ratios such as sales, net profit, debt to equity ratios, liquidity ratios, dividend yield, free cash flow and many others.
 
Fundamental analysis has the primary objective, among others, to generate the fair value, the intrinsic value, for a company’s stock. The fundamental investor can then compare this fair value with the actual stock price and decide whether the company’ stock is cheap or expensive. Thus, investors can use fundamental analysis to pick stocks with stock prices that are currently well below their fair value. This approach is based on the assumptions that stock prices oscillate around fair values and that in the end, stock prices will approach their fair values. In technical analysis there isn’t such a thing as the concept of the fair value. Technical analysis practitioners accept that stock prices move in trends and that past patterns of stock price movements tend to repeat themselves.
 
Fundamental analysts and investors acknowledge that changes in the macroeconomic environment affect the determinants of the intrinsic value of a stock. So, by using fundamental analysis in stock trading we can predict how an increase in interest rates and therefore borrowing costs may affect a company’s profitability. On the contrary, technical analysis primarily focus on price movements and therefore a 5% stock price drop is more important than interest rates movements. More specifically, technical analysis practitioners accept that stock prices already reflect all relevant information and therefore try to determine future stock price movements from current and past stock price activity.
 
Technical analysis is usually used by stock traders who have a short term investment horizon for each position, between a couple of hours and a couple of months. Most successful stock traders work full time to do their homework and execute their stock trading plan. Beginners in stock trading who usually trade part time are prone to lose money entering the game of high frequency trading. Therefore, an individual with limited time to spend in stock trading will probably be more profitable with fundamental analysis, since this approach is more appropriate for a longer investment horizon.
 
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